TQC1 Probability and Statistics II

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Free TQC1 Probability and Statistics II Questions

1. Which of the following statements correctly distinguishes between adjusted R² and R² in multiple regression?
  • Adjusted R² always equals 1
  • Adjusted R² decreases when irrelevant variables are added
  • Adjusted R² increases with every new variable
  • Adjusted R² is unaffected by model complexity

Explanation

Adjusted R² accounts for the number of predictors in the model and penalizes unnecessary variables. Unlike R², which always increases with added predictors, adjusted R² decreases when added variables do not improve model fit, making it a better measure of true explanatory power.
2. When conducting a two-tailed hypothesis test at α = 0.05, how is the significance level distributed?
  • 0.05 in the left tail only
  • 0.025 in each tail
  • 0.05 in each tail
  • 0.10 in the right tail only

Explanation

In a two-tailed test, the total significance level (α = 0.05) is split equally between the two tails of the distribution—0.025 in each. This allows testing for deviations in both directions from the hypothesized mean.
3. Which test would be most appropriate to compare two population proportions?
  • Two-sample z-test
  • Paired t-test
  • Chi-square test of independence
  • One-sample t-test

Explanation

A two-sample z-test for proportions determines if the difference between two population proportions is statistically significant. It is commonly used in studies comparing success rates or approval percentages between two groups.
4. A population has a mean of 80 and a standard deviation of 12. What is the standard error of the mean for samples of size 36?
  • 1.5
  • 2.0
  • 2.5
  • 3.0

Explanation

The standard error of the mean (SE) is calculated as σ / √n = 12 / √36 = 12 / 6 = 2. This measures how much sample means are expected to vary around the population mean when sampling repeatedly.
5. In a probability table, what does the marginal probability represent?
  • The probability of two events happening together
  • The total probability for a single variable
  • The probability that neither event occurs
  • The conditional probability between variables

Explanation

Marginal probabilities appear in the margins of a probability table and represent totals for a single variable across all categories. They summarize the overall probability of one variable regardless of the other’s outcome.
6. Which of the following is true of the p-value in a chi-square test?
  • It depends on the sample mean and standard deviation
  • It measures the strength of evidence against the null hypothesis
  • It is always equal to α
  • It must be greater than 0.10 to reject the null hypothesis

Explanation

The p-value in a chi-square test measures how likely it is to observe the obtained chi-square value (or more extreme) if the null hypothesis is true. A smaller p-value indicates stronger evidence against the null hypothesis.
7. Which of the following represents a joint probability?
  • P(A or B)
  • P(A) + P(B)
  • P(A and B)
  • P(A|B)

Explanation

Joint probability expresses the likelihood that two events occur together, written as P(A and B). It combines probabilities of both outcomes happening simultaneously, essential for understanding intersections between events.
8. A random sample of 200 students showed that 120 prefer online learning. What is the sample proportion?
  • 0.4
  • 0.5
  • 0.6
  • 0.7

Explanation

Sample proportion = Number with characteristic ÷ Total sample size. = 120 ÷ 200 = 0.6. This measure summarizes categorical data and is useful in estimating population proportions and probabilities.
9. Which of the following formulas correctly represents conditional probability?
  • P(A|B) = P(A) + P(B)
  • P(A|B) = P(A and B) / P(B)
  • P(A|B) = P(A and B) × P(B)
  • P(A|B) = P(A) / P(B)

Explanation

Conditional probability measures the likelihood of event A given that event B has occurred. The correct formula is P(A|B) = P(A and B) / P(B), which expresses how often A happens within the subset of cases where B occurs.
10. Which of the following best describes a simple random sample?
  • A sample chosen based on convenience
  • A sample selected to match population characteristics
  • A sample where each possible group of a given size has an equal chance of selection
  • A sample divided into subgroups based on categories

Explanation

A simple random sample ensures every group of a specific size has an equal chance of being chosen. This minimizes selection bias and is the standard method for drawing statistically valid samples.

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